Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, Spread & Odds for AFC Divisional Round Playoffs

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Buffalo Bills backmost Josh Allen (17) celebrates a touch down successful nan first half against nan Pittsburgh Steelers

Jan 15, 2024; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills backmost Josh Allen (17) celebrates a touch down successful nan first half against nan Pittsburgh Steelers successful a 2024 AFC chaotic paper crippled astatine Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

  • The last Divisional Round playoff crippled this play sees nan Bills hosting nan Chiefs astatine 6:30 p.m. ET Sunday night
  • The Chiefs person been responsible for ending nan Bills’ play successful 2 of nan past 3 years, but this will beryllium Patrick Mahomes’ first roadworthy playoff crippled successful his career
  • Get nan Chiefs vs Bills odds, picks and predictions for nan Divisional Round Playoffs here

The Chiefs and Bills matchup for nan 2nd clip this play aft Buffalo won 20-17 backmost successful Week 14. It’s Buffalo favored to triumph again, this clip successful nan playoffs and this clip astatine home, by 2.5 points successful nan Bills vs Chiefs odds.

Read connected for nan afloat Kansas City vs Buffalo likelihood and our apical Chiefs vs Bills prediction here.

Chiefs vs Bills Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total

Kansas City +2.5 (+100) +125 Over 45.5 (-110)
Buffalo -2.5 (-120) -150 Under 45.5 (-110)

In nan closest lined crippled successful nan Divisional Round, nan Bills are 2.5-point favorites successful nan Chiefs vs Bills likelihood connected Sunday nighttime and to triumph consecutive up they are -145 connected nan moneyline. That intends they person a 59.18 implied probability to advance. This crippled has a full group astatine 45.5 which has travel down from 46.5.

Odds from nan BetMGM app connected Jan. 21, 2024. Use nan latest BetMGM promo codification SBD158  for caller users. Claim a Bet $5, Get $158 successful Bonus Bets Offer successful January 2024 that covers your first wager pinch tract in installments if it loses! Get successful connected nan champion NFL betting promo to usage for nan NFL playoffs this weekend!

How to Watch Kansas City vs Buffalo

Viewers successful nan United States tin watch this Kansas City vs Buffalo crippled connected Sunday connected CBS, while viewers successful Canada tin watch connected DAZN aliases TSN.

Chiefs vs Bills Head-to-Head History

As mentioned, nan Bills took nan astir caller meeting, but successful a arguable fashion, by a 20-17 people successful October successful Kansas City. Buffalo jumped retired to a 14-0 lead earlier nan Chiefs pulled level astatine 17-17 successful nan 4th quarter. A precocious Tyler Bass section extremity put Buffalo ahead, but a chaotic series of events that saw Travis Kelce drawback a Patrick Mahomes walk and lateral to Kadarius Toney for a imaginable game-winning touchdown was wiped disconnected nan committee arsenic Toney had lined up offside.

Read more articles :Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions Prediction, Spread & Odds for NFC Divisional Round Playoffs

Buffalo has now won back-to-back games complete nan Chiefs and 3 of nan past four, however, person mislaid successful nan playoffs versus nan Chiefs successful each of nan past 2 meetings.

While this year’s crippled only saw 37 full points, nan erstwhile 4 games saw full points of 44, 78, 58 and 62 points.

Patrick Mahomes vs. Josh Allen has quickly go nan champion QB rivalry successful nan convention and it’s not difficult to spot why.

The 2 are 3-3 head-to-head and astir to meet successful nan postseason for nan 3rd clip successful nan past 4 years. (THREAD) pic.twitter.com/HA1q7e4ACO

— NFL (@NFL) January 18, 2024

Chiefs vs Bills Public Betting Trends

In NFL nationalist betting, nan nationalist is siding pinch nan Chiefs arsenic underdogs successful this game. Kansas City is getting 68% of ATS money 3 hours earlier kickoff. Kansas City is besides getting 58% of moneyline grip arsenic +125 underdogs connected only 40% of nan tickets.

The nationalist is heavy backing nan under, arsenic well, pinch 69% of game-total grip connected nether 45.5.

Chiefs vs Bills Weather Forecast

It’s different snowy play projected successful Buffalo pinch anyplace from 1-4 feet of snowfall expected. Temperatures are expected to beryllium betwixt 18-23 degrees and winds up to 13 mph and upwind gusts of up to 20 mph. Much for illustration nan anticipated upwind past week, this could play a facet for some teams being capable to run their offenses, particularly nan passing games.

Rice Steps Up for Chiefs successful Wild Card

Kansas City whitethorn person topped nan AFC West this season, but they didn’t look awesome doing it pinch an discourtesy that scored conscionable 21.8 PPG and averaged nan astir dropped passes astatine 2.6 per game.

Both Mahomes and Kelce person had down seasons, though Isiah Pacheco fell conscionable awkward of 1,000 yards rushing pinch 935, and Rashee Rice stepped up successful his rookie play pinch 79 catches for 938 yards and 7 touchdowns. Rice led nan Chiefs successful receiving scores up of Kelce’s five, and looks to beryllium nan astir reliable action for receivers if targeting Chiefs vs Bills props.

It was Rice who shouldered nan load past week successful nan Wild Card Playoffs versus Miami totalling 8 catches for 130 yards and a touchdown. The Chiefs’ 6th-ranked defense, giving up conscionable 18.3 PPG, unopen down Tua and nan Dolphins successful 26-7 win. Still, nan Chiefs stalled retired successful nan reddish area past week going 2/6 and settled for aggregate section goals. Thus leaving nan crippled still wrong striking region for Miami astatine conscionable 19-7 entering nan 4th quarter.

Since losing to nan Bills successful Week 14, nan Chiefs are now 4-1 SU and 3-1-1 ATS.

#Bills interim violative coordinator Joe Brady connected Josh Allen's 52-yard touchdown tally & Allen moving nan shot successful general:

"I deliberation erstwhile you effort to clasp Josh Allen backmost you're astir apt doing a disservice." pic.twitter.com/8vTRs6xVtl

— Heather Prusak (@haprusak) January 18, 2024

Bills Roll Past Steelers In Rescheduled Game 

Not galore would person expected nan Bills to still beryllium opinionated aft a 2-4 descent during nan mid-point of nan season. But aft past week’s Wild Card triumph complete Pittsburgh, nan Bills are 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS entering nan Division Round. Their Super Bowl 58 odds are now +500 and way only nan Ravens and 49ers.

Originally scheduled to play successful frigid, snowy and windy conditions past Sunday, nan league, citing information concerns for each involved, moved nan crippled to Monday to debar nan worst of nan weather.

Josh Allen and nan Bills utilized that other time and amended upwind to their advantage, storming retired of nan gates to return a 21-0 lead and going connected to triumph comfortably, 31-17. Allen threw for 203 yards and 3 TDs to 3 different receivers, while rushing successful different people himself connected nan ground.

Allen has thrown for a full of 32 TDs while rushing for 16 TDs, giving 48 mixed TDs connected nan year. He besides avoided throwing an interception, thing he’s only avoided doing doubly successful his past 14 games.

Chiefs vs Bills Head-to-Head Stats

10-7 / 9-7-1 Record / ATS 11-6 / 7-10
15th (21.8) PPG Scored 6th (26.5)
9th YPG Offense 4th
6th Passing YPG 8th
19th Rushing YPG 7th
2nd (17.3) PPG Allowed 4th (18.3)
2nd YPG Allowed 9th
4th Passing YPG Allowed 7th
T-17th Rushing YPG Allowed 15th

*Regular play stats

Chiefs vs Bills Prediction

The are plentifulness of wounded concerns here, particularly connected nan Bills’ broadside arsenic galore players went down injured past week aliases were already dealing pinch injuries. The Chiefs vs Bills wounded report lists WR Gabe Davis retired erstwhile again and WR Stefon Diggs questionable connected nan offense. While defensively LBs Tyrel Dodson and Terrel Bernard and CBs Taron Johnson and Rasul Douglas are each questionable. In fact, moreover punter Sam Martin is questionable arsenic well.

The Chiefs spot WR Kadarius Toney, DT Derrick Nnadi and CB L’Jarius Sneed each questionable.

We’ve yet to spot Mahomes play a playoff crippled connected nan road, truthful this will beryllium caller territory for nan Chiefs’ QB. But while he’s seldom lined arsenic an underdog successful nan NFL constituent spread, erstwhile he is, he’s been money, going 8-1 ATS successful his past 9 games successful that domiciled and 8-1-1 successful his career.

Despite nan high-profile quarterbacks connected some teams, some Buffalo and Kansas City person been among nan highest Under teams this season. Kansas City tied for nan astir Unders successful nan regular play astatine 12-5, and going Under past week leaves them pinch nan astir mixed regular play and playoff Unders astatine 13-5. They’ve besides gone Under successful each of their past 4 games and 11/14.

The Bills were 11-6 to nan Under this season, but avoided playing successful unspeakable upwind past week pinch their crippled being moved, and ended up easy going Over nan full of 39.5. They’ve gone Over successful 3/4 games.

This crippled is again expected to person immoderate upwind concerns which could play a domiciled successful keeping nan people down truthful agelong arsenic nan crippled doesn’t get moved again. Even without upwind concerns, nan Chiefs person not been an explosive discourtesy each play and nan Bills person focused connected nan tally much since Joe Brady took complete arsenic violative coordinator. Let’s backmost nan Under successful our Kansas City vs Buffalo prediction.

Chiefs vs Bills Picks: Under 45.5 (-110)

See much picks for tonight’s crippled pinch our Chiefs vs Bills SGP here!

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Ryan Metivier

NFL NBA NHL Soccer Tennis Sports Editor

Sports Editor

Ryan is SBD's resident shot pro, though his repertoire is by nary intends constricted to a azygous sport. His articles person been published by nan Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and nan Kitchener Rangers, and outlets for illustration SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com

NFL NBA NHL Soccer Tennis

Ryan is SBD's resident shot pro, though his repertoire is by nary intends constricted to a azygous sport. His articles person been published by nan Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and nan Kitchener Rangers, and outlets for illustration SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com

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